My lone caucus post
All I have to say about last night's surprise in Iowa is this:
Dean is toast. Crunchy, blackened toast.
I mean, I still support Dean's candidacy with the same reservations I've had all along, but I made up my mind about him months ago. Thing is, I pay more attention to politics than do 99% of the feedbags in this country, so last night was not my first introduction to the man.
The problem is the other 99%. Dean doesn't really have an "anger problem" like the press makes out. He gets stern, and he comes off abrupt, but his actual outbursts are nowhere to be seen. Nevertheless, the "anger thing" is what 90% people know about him, if they know anything at all. And last night, when Dean capped off a state-naming tirade with a weird, strangled Chewbacca death-cry, he sealed his identity forever as The Deaniac. The Vermonster. Captain Insano. Whether he deserves it or not, every word of every speech Dean has given in the last year now amounts to one thing: "YEAAAAARGH!"
He's toast. Howard Stern was goofing on Dean this morning, looping the stangled Chewbacca death over and over, and introducing Howard Dean to millions of potential voters who previously had no idea who he was.
With this is mind, I offer Johno's Irrefutable Axiom of Politics #1: When 99% of Americans first hear about your candidacy because Howard Stern thinks it's funny, you are toast.
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I think you're right. But
I think you're right. But his money and organization, and the support of the feedbags who think that that wookie cry mirrors their political views will keep him in the race even though it is over for him.
Well, sure. He's got money
Well, sure. He's got money and momentum.
I only hope that his inner core of true believers don't bolt entirely and turn Dean into some 2004 Nader-type spoiler. I mean, waiting til 2008 is one thing: I'm just afraid that some splinter cell of Deaniacs will deliver the country into Bush's hands for four more years.
Dean/Nader '04! I like it.
Dean/Nader '04! I like it. It will guarantee that Kerry won't get into the Whitehouse.
Of course I meant to say "won
Of course I meant to say "won't deliver". Won't.
Won't.
Won't.
God forbid four more years of Bush.
Well - you could also spin it
Well - you could also spin it this way - millions of Stern listeners now know who Dean is, and probably not the name of any other candidate.
And over the past few months, while not endorsing anyone, Stern has come just short of endorsing Dean.
Brdgt, that's another side to
Brdgt, that's another side to the coin.
That's the problem with Johno's Irrefutable Axioms: they don't stand up to scrutiny, are easily refuted, and are mostly useless.
Kind of like the reporting in the National Review. Snark!
And as the Three Armed Man
And as the Three Armed Man told me (who listened to the whole Stern Broadcast) - Stern went on to say that he LIKED what Dean did, didn't think it was "angry" but empassioned, and give him a candidate who cares over the other wooden blocks.
Plus Stern thinks that Dean volunteers are getting more action than other campaigns...
OOooooh.... TAM just might be
OOooooh.... TAM just might be right.
As usual, I've taken a position that state strongly and immediately have second thoughts about. Time will tell whether I was right.
One thing I do know for sure is this, though: I like a close horserace.