Bush is No Reagan

Good article from The Economist; well worth reading. Not being as entirely aware of history as I should be, it's interesting to learn that Reagan's tax reform was, on the whole, pretty much revenue neutral. He was able to drop rates, but close loopholes at the same time, and I guess we can presume that he did us all a big favor by doing so.

Bush's tax cuts are far from revenue neutral. Yes, it seems like the economy is starting to turn a corner, and that is a very good thing. It's been a really tough environment out there. The thing is, there is an ever-widening gap between the sales pitches the administration uses to get its policies passed, and the reality on the ground afterwards.

For example, Brad DeLong notes that the President's "Council of Economic Advisors" projected, last February, that passing the "Jobs And Growth" package would result in an overall increase of 300,000 new jobs. Actual figure: A loss of 2.3 million jobs. That's a pretty big gap.

So what we're learning is this: If there's some vague effect on the job market that the tax cuts have, it's very weak at best, and in no way, shape or manner does it even begin to resemble the sales pitch provided to America beforehand.

We've provided massively for the Rich in this country so jobs would be created, so we were told. The trickle-down effect would help us all. What we've found is that Bush tax policy has had little effect on anything, other than effecting a massive inter-generational wealth transfer, as the current generation in power spends like mad, running up the national deficit, financing their own retirements.

You can bet they'll all be voting as a block in the years to come, forcing the younger generation into ever-more extreme taxation and deficit positions, whining and bitching that "they paid into social security all their lives".

We'll see about that.

Posted by Ross Ross on   |   § 2

§ 2 Comments

1

According to the economists I've asked, the Bush tax cuts are essentially a continuation of the Reagan cuts, in that they are an effort to reform and simplify the tax laws by quietly lopping off massive knots of contradictory regulation.

Regardless of other effects of Bush's tax cuts, I can get behind this aspect. Now if only they could start doing the same for individual taxpayers...

2

News today is that unemployment rates are expected to drop sharply in the next couple quarters.

A note on revenue neutrality: that was, in part, how Reagan sold a Democratic congress on the idea. What irritates me about certain leftish elements is their insistence on using taxes as an instrument of social engineering - to achieve their political goals. The only thing that is fair, just, whatever, is a tax policy that applies the same rules to everyone. What Reagan did, was to maintain the flow of money into the government but greatly reduce the social engineering aspects of the tax code. Marginal rates (rate on last dollar earned) plummeted and this had a powerful effect on the economy. Bush sought to take the effect further - again simplifying the tax brackets (a little) but also reducing the amount of money that comes in. The only way to reduce the size of the government is to starve it.

I would be in favor of the instant enaction of a consumption tax, or a flat tax, or any thing that would not treat me worse, or better, than any other taxpaying citizen. And I would support whatever rate would maintain current revenues.

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