All Hail the God of Walks
If you've read Michael Lewis' modern baseball classic, "Moneyball," you will remember a kid named Kevin Youkilis, a beefy, slowfooted John Kruk-type "ballplayer not athelete" third baseman with an unnatural ability to draw walks. If you haven't read Michael Lewis' modern baseball classic, "Moneyball," well, you should, and do please reread the previous sentence because it contains information you need to know.
Youkilis appears in Lewis' book because he doesn't fit the mold of the sterotypical great ballplayer, the Alex Rodriguez five-tool wonder. Instead, he is a slow, slap-hitting tub of lard. The clincher is that despite his average abilities and physique, he's a preternaturally patient hitter, a Sabremetrician's dream. His on-base percentage in the minor leagues has been astronomical, mainly due to his ability to work pitchers deep in the count to draw walks-- indeed, in "Moneyball" he is dubbed "Euclis, the Greek God of Walks." In the newfangled thinkery of the Boston Red Sox' management, the tubby God of Walks is more valuable than a hacker who swings for power and strikes out frequently. After all, a player on base can score a run, and a player who strikes out has wasted one of only twenty-seven chances per game the team has to score that same run.
With Boston Red Sox third baseman Bill Mueller injured, Youkilis has finally made his major league debut. In twelve games with the Sox, he has posted an OBP of .442 and walked 9 times. Although he has also struck out twelve times in that same span, a period of adjustment to major league pitching is to be expected. Even given Youk's need to adjust to the majors, his .442 OBP compares favorably to such marquee on-base generators as Todd Helton (career .427, first year .337), Barry Bonds (career .436, first year .330), and model leadoff man Rickey Henderson (career .401, first year .338). Put another way, Kevin Youkilis in his first year is getting on base more often than Barry Bonds, one of the all-time elite offensive players, has done in 11 out of his 17 seasons. Not bad.
Can we expect Bonds-like numbers all around from the God of Walks? No. Like I said, he's a beefy, slowfooted heir to John Kruk's mantle. But the God of Walks is an eternal journeyman of a type I always have a lot of fun watching. Now that Krukker's out of the game, Rickey Henderson is playing minor-league ball in Newark, and Joe Randa is in exile in Kansas City, we need Youk. Welcome to the show, kid.
Glossary for non-baseball types:
Walk: A hitter earns a free walk to first base if a pitcher throws four "balls," or pitches outside the strike zone (defined by the left and right edges of home plate, the player's knees, and the midpoint between the belt and the top of the shoulders) that the hitter does not swing at.
Batting Average: Actually a ratio, of the number of successful at-bats producing a hit to the total number of at-bats the player sees. A BA of .300 is considered good, meaning that a good baseball player will fail more than two-thirds of the time. Baseball is a hard game.
At-bat: From Wikipedia: An at-bat (AB) is used to calculate other data such as batting average. A player has an at bat every time he comes to bat except under the following circumstances:
OBP: On-base percentage. Describes how often a player reaches base, derived by adding a player's batting average to the number of times he walks, and dividing both by overall plate appearances. An OBP of about .330 is average.
OPS: On-base percentage plus slugging. Considered by some the most useful shorthand measure of offensive merit. Derived by adding a player's OBP to his Slugging Percentage. Slugging Percentage is a ratio describing how frequently a player hits for extra bases (doubles, triples, or home runs). Elite players have an OPS of at least .750. Barry Bonds' OPS since 2000 has been 1.366.
Five-tool player: The proverbial everything man. A player who can hit for power, hit for percentage, steal bases, field well, and throw hard and accurately. Traditionally considered the perfect player. New-school managers such as Billy Beane of Oakland and Theo Epstein of Boston put less value on five-tool players, choosing to emphasize other traits that are currently undervalued in the player salary market.
Sabremetrics: A statistical method for analyzing baseball. Name derived from SABR, for the Society for American Baseball Research. See the Wikipedia definition.
Baseball: The most perfect of all possible games, set free of time, history, and space, in this, the most perfect of all possible worlds. You can keeps your nasssssty rounders and cricket, preciousss!
§ 4 Comments
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I suppose OPS is easier to
I suppose OPS is easier to manage than isolated power plus walks, which is the purest expression of the sabermetric virtues.
I've also always believed that, all else equal, go with the guy with the .350 or above OBP. It all starts with a guy on base.
Youkilis sounds a bit like Bruce Bochte, although I don't think Bochte drew as many walks. He also sounds a bit like Darrell Evans, but with less power at this stage of his career.
Ken, that seems to be the
Ken, that seems to be the deal. Since OPS is easily obtainable from Old-Skool statistics at a glance, it's a quicker way to the same information.
For my fantasy team, I drafted for an OPS of .900 or above, and pratically disregarded all other other categories except K's. At this point I'm #2 in the league, and would be #1 but for some ill-timed injuries and the truly exceptional drafting abilities of Brdgt of "Female Planet" (blogrolled on the main page).
I have nothing add, other
I have nothing add, other than to point out that I am still in the lead by 4.5 games - neener, neener :p
Like I said, you have a draft
Like I said, you have a draft strategery DOWN. Of course, you also have Pujols and Ichiro, which helps a little.
Don't get too comfortable on top. Just as soon as Pettitte, Wagner, and Sosa come back from injuries, and Soriano and Renteria break out of their slumps, you're done! Those five unknowns are all that stand between me and victory!! Victory!!!